John,
I received your PM, it's appreciated and accepted. Don't take offense this time when you read this post.
You say that you cannot break safe (playing in a tourney I presume?) but you ignored that a person could be gambling and then you can break any damn way you want to.
A "funsie" tournament is any tournament that anybody ever played in, ever in history (in any sport).
Let's take a look at 10 of your tournament matches that I have on DVD. I'm only looking at your break, not your opponents so my numbers are automatically not completely representative of ALL the breaks in these matches.
V.S. Luat 2009 Finals #1
V.S. Luat 2009 Finals #2
V.S. Pagulayan 2011
V.S. R. Alcano 2011
V.S. L. Nevel 2005
V.S. F. Bustamante 2011
V.S. J. Miller 2004 Finals #1
V.S. J. Miller 2004 Finals #2
V.S. T. Hogue 2005 Semi-Finals
V.S. D. Matlock 2005 Finals
And the categories are;
out of your 26 breaks in these 10 matches:
Made a ball on break & made at least one more ball: 12 times = 46%
Made a ball on break, left no shot, played safe: 1 time
Made a ball on break & missed a shot (this includes playing safe once): 8 times = 31%
Didn't make a ball on break: 6 times = 23%
Broke dry & gave up a shot: 6 times = 23%
Broke dry & gave up shot that oppo missed: 1 time = 17%
Broke dry & gave up shot, oppo made a ball or more: 5 times = 83%
Broke & scratched: 0 times
I'm not a statistical analysis expert but I think that you being at 46% for making a ball on break and then making a bank isn't comparable to playing safe and leaving no shot ever, except for long distance through traffic and probably leaving a shot if missed.
During your two finals matches with Luat in 2009 you never made a ball on the break and then pocketed a bank. Things like this negate what you think is a good approach to breaking (non-tourney). You beat Luat with superior skills, it had zero to do with the break on your part.
I do realize you must open-break in a tourney but I specifically stated that it depends on whether or not a person is gambling and several other criteria which you said "doesn't mean anything".
Why would anybody open-break when gambling when the best banker around right now only makes a ball on the break and then banks one in 46% of the time? I do realize that my sampling is very limited to only 26 of your breaks and I do not look at the oppo's breaks but I only have so much time
.
I realize that numbers can sometimes be twisted to try to make a point so I've tried to refrain from that. My basic point is that you can break safe 100% of the time and leave a long tough shot, if any, or you can open-break and take your chances. I'm breaking safe on my cash.
P.S. It's quite possible that I'm mis-representing something here but if I am it's not intentional, just an error on my part.
P.Ps. Now I can send these 3 cheap Detroit hookers home (they've been doing my research
, cost me $12.75, who's gonna pay for that? ).
Dennis