I probably wouldn't have time at the table, but since I had plenty of time here, I looked at it by-the-numbers:If I thought I could take out the 2 reliably without selling out a free bank on the 5 then I would probably do that
Hell, Moose, I have to bet on you... you are plannin' to be my stakehorse in New Orleans next month, right? :hehI would slice the five in with enough speed to cross the table twice with the CB and then allow it to fall to the bottom rail about a diamond from the two, just perfectly, so I could then bank the two and win the game. Right, that's the ticket.:heh:heh:heh
Yeah, when I said cinch it, I had just this in mind. I don't figure to get a viable cross, though.No English cut on the 5 ball, 100% effort on making the ball. Then if you end up with a viable cross on the 2 ball, take the shot at winning, if not, reposition the 2 where it favors you.
I bet you're a nightmare to split a check with.I probably wouldn't have time at the table, but since I had plenty of time here, I looked at it by-the-numbers:
I think I can shoot directly at the right side of the 2 with a couple of tips of lhe and get safe on both balls about 80% of the time. After that, I have about a 40% chance to win, playing a player of equal skill. That computes to about a 32% chance to win by playing the safety. These pockets look generous to me, and even more generous with relatively new cloth. I think I'm around 60-70% to make the 5, and I'm maybe 20% to land where I have a good cross if I don't use inside shooting the 5 (I wouldn't.) So shooting the 5 gives me about a 15% chance to win on this turn, and if I make the 5 it's my move and I figure that gives me about 55 to 45 to win by getting the first shot.
Hard to add all that up (I haven't made that "good cross" yet) but it looks to me that the two choices are very close to 50/50. That bein' the case, I'd shoot.
Anybody asleep yet?
LMAO!I bet you're a nightmare to split a check with.
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