In your laundry list of possible outcomes, you did not include: "You hang the ball up in his pocket and he runs out." At any rate, my take on it was that there was no way he was trying to kick it - just look where he contacted the OB. If he would have been trying to kick it, he missed by a damn mile on his line.He was shooting at it. You make it in his pocket, you send it toward your pocket, you double the corners and it goes toward your pocket, you hit it fat and maybe carom off the bottom of the stack, At any rate you take the CB uptable and hope the OB doesn't go over and back.
There's a formula for this shot, it's been on youtube with Efren making it. The CB is farther away than what's ideal, but what the hey!